Investing Guide at Deep Blue Group Publications LLC Tokyo: 3 Tips to Navigate Market Volatility
With geopolitical crises in the news, 2014 has been
a "year of fear."
During the
months of September and October, the stock market dealt
investors more falling stocks than rising ones. Some may suggest the 2014
market has been worse than many years in recent memory. Although that remains
to be seen, 2014 has been what I call a "year of fear."
The year began
with an extraordinarily cold winter, with places like Austin, Texas, getting
snow and freezing rain, and the polar vortex crippling many parts of the
Eastern Seaboard and the Midwest. Throughout the year, other global events,
conflicts and crises have affected stock market performance.
Because investors were inundated with so much information (and much of it was
conflicting information), many investors did not know what to do.
Although these
events are undoubtedly reason to give us pause, if we look at the facts, we
should be less concerned for our long-term investing success. Businesses have restructured
and refocused on the bottom line, which often translates to better results for
their shareholders. In addition, American energy production is at an all-time
high, which has resulted in lower oil prices. While you are looking for
positive signs in the stock market, here are three tips that may help prevent
your investments from getting hurt by recent fluctuations in the market.
1. Don’t be scared by market corrections.
Market corrections are necessary. Without them, there would be bubbles. These
corrections typically help us keep our expectations realistic. However, it’s
important to know the difference between a market correction and a bear market. I tell my
clients that any softening of the market that is less than 10 percent is a
correction.
When the
market softens 20 percent or more, we are entering bear market territory, and
it is likely time to make some changes to ensure they stay on course and reach
their investment goals. We have to realize we
have entered a new paradigm of investing. Now that we know that, we have to
figure out how to handle the volatility. Your portfolio should be diversified
to protect against this volatility as much as possible. While using
diversification as part of your investment strategy doesn’t assure or guarantee
better performance and can’t protect against loss in declining markets, it is
well-recognized risk management strategy.
2. Don’t let market lows give you portfolio woes.
The market is a fickle beast. By its very definition, there will be both ups
and downs in the market. However, two things are important to keep in mind
should either market movement occur. First, you have to remember your plan and
time horizon. You developed your investment plan when cooler heads prevailed,
which is the best time to create it. Next, you have to realize that since fear
is an inherent part of investing your hard-earned money in the stock market,
the second thing you should do is take a risk tolerance questionnaire when the
market falls.
These
questionnaires are available on any number of financial websites, and they can
help you put the market in context. Have you taken on more risk than you are
comfortable with? If you get out of the market when it softens (and take the
financial losses associated with it), by the time you decide the waters are
safe enough to get back in, you may be missing out on a potential upswing.
3. Beta-test your portfolio to minimize your fears.
Beta is a measure of a fund's sensitivity to market movements, and is
calculated by comparative analysis of how your portfolio will perform with
respect to the Standard & Poor's 500 index. Performing this kind of
analysis can help to take some of the fear out of investing in the stock
market. However, a low beta does not necessarily mean that low levels of
volatility exist. It only suggests the market-related risk is relatively low.
For example,
an investment in gold will often have a low beta, but despite the fluctuations
that can happen in gold prices, the beta is likely to remain low. However, beta
can help you determine how much risk there is in your portfolio, and if that
lines up with the level of risk you can tolerate.
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